You are currently viewing The $ix Rack Presented by Trav: Week 18 (The Finale)

The $ix Rack Presented by Trav: Week 18 (The Finale)

They say all good things must come to an end and I don’t know if this was any good but it is coming to an end regardless. 

Overall, I have no clue if anybody made any money (I know I didn’t), but hopefully the thirteen people that made the $ix Rack a part of their weekly reading material at least enjoyed themselves a little. 

Prior to recapping last week’s games, let’s recap the best and worst of the $ix Rack this season.

Best of the Best $ix Rack Takes:

Week 1: Dwayne Haskins “is not good.” (Haskins cut by season’s end)

Week 2: The Chiefs are “unstoppable.” (Chiefs 14-2)

Week 3: “The Jets are a dumpster fire.” “Like maybe picking first overall bad.” (Jets 2-14)

Week 4: Texas is not back. (Very much still “not back”)

Week 4: Jeremy Pruitt is a pushover dad. (No factual proof for this but seems true still)

Week 4: The Broncos “suck very bad.” (Broncos 5-11)

Week 5: Falcons lose and Dan Quinn fired after the game. (Nailed it)

Week 6: The Dolphins are “straight up good.” (Dolphins 10-6)

Week 7: “The Dolphins are playoff contenders.” (see above)

Week 8: “The guest pickers are either ice cold or just conspiring to drive my record down.” (Guest pickers final record: 3-12-1)

Week 8: Joe Burrow will end up in the ICU. -my sister (season-ending injury Week 11)

burrow

Week 10: “It’s hard to believe we are going to play a football season during a pandemic just to witness Bama, OSU, and Clemson duke it out in the playoffs yet again.” (Yep. Yep. Yep.)

Week 10: Ravens O/D is ”much much better” than the Patriots O/D. -Matt Man

Week 11: “Someone get (Drew Brees) in the nursing home.” (Seriously, someone call the Rouse)

brees

Week 12: “It’s going to be Bama, Clemson, OSU, and an irrelevant fourth team that will lose its first game.” (Right again)

Week 12: “The NFC East is truly a consolation bracket.” (TBD)

Week 13: “Feel like the Fun Belt is extra fun this year.” (The funnest)

Week 14: “I am officially retiring the Titans in the $ix Rack.” (Should have done it)

Week 15: Trav’s Highly Statistical Playoff Chance Model. (4/4)

Worst of the Worst $ix Rack Takes:

Week 1: Brock Purdy has the offense down after 30 seasons. (Nope, and he’s coming back for #31)

Week 3: Sam Ehlinger is going to be a Heisman finalist. (officially received zero Heisman votes)

Week 4: Nick Mullens is Brett Favre reincarnated. (This was a bit of a stretch. And Brett Favre isn’t dead last time I checked.)

Week 5: The Eagles are “back.” (Eagles 4-11-1)

Week 5: “BYU is the UCF of 2020.” -Mattress Matt (Close, but no cigar)

Week 7: Taulia Tagovailoa is “Tua’s Great Value edition brother.” (Taulia 3rd in Big Ten in passer rating)

Week 7: “Hugh Freeze sucks.” (Led Liberty to best season in program history: 10-1)

freeze

Week 8: “Michigan looks GOOD.” (Michigan final record: 2-4)

Week 11: “Who decided that the Redskins are a better team than the Bengals?” (Wow.)

Week 12: “I feel like Tom Allen is coaching a division 1 football team as part of Make A Wish.” (No comment)

Week 12: “Longhorns by 100.” (Final score: Iowa State 23 Texas 20)

mattm

Week 14: The Rams will make a playoff run. (TBD but doesn’t look promising)

Week 15: Let’s face it, the Packers are due to lose a game they shouldn’t. (Never did.)

Week 16: Bringing my old self back to pick the Titans. (Lost again. Finished 0-6 picking Titans.)

Best Picks:

Week 2: SMU vs. North Texas OVER 68.5 (Final score: SMU 65, North Texas 35)

Week 7: Chiefs -7.5 vs. Broncos (Final score: Chiefs 43, Broncos 16)

Week 7: Rutgers +370 vs. Michigan State (Our ONLY LSML hit of the year)

Week 9: Liberty +14.5 vs. Va Tech (Final score: Liberty 38, VA Tech 35)

Week 12: Saints -6 vs. Broncos (Final score: Saints 35, Broncos 3)

Week 13: OSU -21.5 vs. Michigan State (Final score: OSU 52, Michigan State 12)

Week 13: Patriots -1 vs. Chargers (Final score: Patriots 45, Chargers 0)

Week 16: DeVonta Smith Heisman Winner @ -180 ($$$)

heisman

Worst Picks:

Week 4: Miss State -17.5 vs. Arkansas (Final score: Miss State 14, Arkansas 21)

Week 5: Ole Miss vs. Alabama Under 70.5 (Final score: Alabama 63, Ole Miss 48)

Week 6: Boston College +348 vs. Va Tech (Final score: Va Tech 40, BC 14)

Week 8: Kansas State +3.5 vs. West Virginia (Final score: Kansas State 10, West Virginia 37)

Week 8: Titans -5.5 vs. Bengals (Final score: Titans 20, Bengals 31)

Week 12: Raiders -3 vs. Falcons (Final score: Raiders 6, Falcons 43)

Week 13: Navy +410 vs. Tulsa (Final score: Navy 6, Tulsa 19)

Week 14: Arizona ML vs. Arizona State (Final score: Arizona 7, Arizona State 70)

Week 14: Texans -1.5 vs. Bears (Final score: Texans 7, Bears 36)

Week 15: Titans +3.5 vs. Packers (Final score: Titans 18, Packers 40)

*Editor’s Note: LOL at Week 14 Arizona ML.*

Heartbreak City:

Week 1: Titans -2.5 vs. Broncos (Final score: Titans 16, Broncos 14)

Week 3: Titans -2.5 vs. Vikings (Final score: Titans 31, Vikings 30)

Week 6: Kansas vs. WVU UNDER 51.5 (WVU 38, KU 17 – Pooka KR with 1 min left)

Week 7: Temple vs. Memphis OVER 70.5 (Final score: Temple 29, Memphis 41)

Week 9: Wash State vs. Oregon State UNDER 65.5 (Final score: Wash State 38, Oregon State 28)

Week 15: Eagles +6.5 vs. Cardinals (Final score: Eagles 26, Cardinals 33)

lloydchristmas

Guest Picks Final Standings:

guest picks

*Editor’s Note: Maybe stick with the undefeated guy next time? This is like benching Tom Brady in the Super Bowl.*

WEEK 17 RECAP

1. Army +7 (vs. WVU) – 💰WINNER💰

Final Score: Army 21 – WVU 24

(I think this remains my favorite gif ever)

2. Georgia -6.5 (vs. Cincinnati) – ❌LOSER❌

Final Score: Georgia 24 – Cincinnati 21

I have let my mind wander several times this week and I soon begin thinking about this game. As the Georgia defensive player sacks Desmond Ridder in the endzone, I picture the ball squirting free and lying on the ground and a Georgia guy pounces on it. A Georgia cover – WE DID IT! Soon I realize I am only just daydreaming again, and my life is a nightmare.

3. Alabama -19.5 (vs. Notre Dame) – ❌LOSER❌

Final Score: Alabama 31  – Notre Dame 14

We had mentioned a garbage time TD for Notre Dame to ruin a Clemson cover the week prior but turns out that was this week against Alabama. There is no other way to put it: the Crimson Tide were at least 3 TD’s better but they didn’t win by 3 TD’s.

4. UNC +7.5 (vs. Texas A&M) – ❌LOSER❌

Final Score: UNC 27 – Texas A&M 41

UNC was within 7 points of this spread for 99.9% of this game. In fact, they were tied with 4½ minutes left with the ball and still managed to somehow blow this one for us. For the second straight game, I’d say if you got this right, you were dead wrong about the game.

5. Ravens -12.5 (vs. Bengals) – 💰WINNER💰

Final Score: Ravens 38 – Bengals 3

Every week of the $ix Rack, we seemed to nail one and this week it turned out to be this game. The Ravens are peaking at the right time and look like they just might make a run similar to 2013.

6. Guest Pick: Cardinals +1 (vs. Rams) – ❌LOSER❌

Final Score: Cardinals 7 – Rams 18

This line actually moved heavily in favor of the Cardinals (believe I saw -3.5 at kickoff) so needless to say I felt great about this. And we were right on Kyler Murray playing, but we weren’t right about him playing more than a few minutes. The 7-0 start gave us 8 points of wiggle room right off the bat didn’t really matter. Pitt Fan had a chance to jump into second place in the win % column, but came up just a bit short.

LSMLW: Texans +300 (vs. Titans)

Final Score: Texans 38 – Titans 41

This is the sort of drama we were hoping for all year with these. All in all, the losing doink (and through) was a fitting way to end the LSMLW.

Holiday Parlay #2 (+1041) – 🎁❌LOSER❌🎁

  • San Jose State ML – L
  • Army +12 – W
  • Georgia ML – W
  • Alabama ML – W
  • Clemson ML – L
  • Indiana ML – L
  • UNC +11.5 – L
  • Colts ML – W
  • Ravens -6.5 – W

5/9 is not good. Never forget I said there was an “80-90% chance this hits.” Also a nice way to wrap up the parlay season.

Heisman Trophy: Devonta Smith (-180) – 💰WINNER💰

Hopefully somebody listened to me on this one. I was dying to see whether Johnny Manziel or Ricky Williams were higher, so blame Covid again for ruining something fun. In all seriousness though, I can’t wait to see what Smith does on Monday night for an encore. Dude is a legend.

WEEK 18 WINNERS

I feel as if I spent enough hours in the lab this year, I probably could have done a lot of constructive things. But at 48-51, I am not very happy that I (in addition to my guests) have put myself in a position where I need to go 5-1 or better to break .500. For god’s sake, let’s pretend it could happen. 

With only 7 games on the dock this week, having to pick from “what’s left” so to speak reminds me of the time my buddy was scoping out the stragglers at 2:45AM in a West Lafayette bar and ended up sucking face with a stout woman named Randy (…or possibly Ricky). Anyways, we will try to make the best of what we’re working with this week. 

When looking through old $ix Racks, I happened to notice I used a “confidence meter” in my first week of picks. I can’t believe how stupid that is for a spread that is supposed to have even odds, but I’m bringing it back this week regardless for the finale.

1. Bills -6 (vs. Colts)

The -6 is calling our names and for good reason. Bills were an NFL best 11-5 against the spread this year and winners of their last 7 ATS. If they lose, I want it to really hurt. 

Confidence meter: 6/10

2. Seahawks -3 (vs. Rams)

I’m sure I’ll be wrong but I just can’t figure out this spread. They played three weeks ago in Seattle and the Seahawks won 20-9 with a healthy Jared Goff. Now we’re getting either an unhealthy Jared Goff or John Wolford and I’m supposed to think the Rams can keep this close. Nah, I’m good.

Confidence meter: 8.5/10

3. Seahawks vs. Rams UNDER 42.5

I hate picking under a number this low but let’s look at the numbers: Seattle is averaging only 23 points per game since week 10. Removing the two outliers (40 points against Jets and 12 points against the Giants), the Seahawks are scoring only 21.5 points per game since Week 10. It’s hard to imagine them scoring much more than that when you take into consideration they’re facing the #1 team defense in football in the Rams. Plus, the Seahawks D is much improved and now facing one of the previously mentioned quarterbacks. 

Let’s not forget these teams have played twice before this season, and the total points in both games were 39 and 29. Yes, it would be very boring, but I really like my chances of this score being in the 30’s again.

Confidence meter: 6.5 / 10

4. Saints -9.5 (vs. Bears)

The Saints Train has been more like a roller coaster as we keep getting off but then getting in line to get back on. This week, I don’t see any scenario where the Bears keep this close. Since Week 8, the Saints are 7-1-1 ATS – with, of course, the one loss being against the Eagles (we picked the Saints to cover) and the one push being against the Chiefs (we picked the Chiefs to cover). The Bears lost by 3 touchdowns at home to their rivals last week in a possible “do or die” situation. Don’t overthink this one.

Confidence meter: 8/10

5. Steelers -5.5 (vs. Browns)

I have no data for this pick and this prediction is based solely off three things: 

  1. It took everything the Browns had to squeeze one out last week at home. 
  2. The Browns struggle at Heinz Field. They have not won at Heinz Field since 2003 when TIM COUCH led the Browns to a 33-16 victory. 
  3. Browns HC Kevin Stefanski will miss the game with Covid 19, and I think missing your head coach is a bigger deal than I would have originally thought. I watched the Lions lose by 500 points with some guy named Robert Prince coaching them two weeks ago, and I can see the same thing happening to the Browns with a game named Mike Priefer leading them this weekend.

Confidence meter:  7/10

tim couch

6. Alabama -7.5 (vs. Ohio State)

This could definitely go either way, but I’ll ride with the Tide given the uncertainty with Justin Fields and possibly more ‘vid outbreaks in the OSU locker room. I’ll probably pay a little extra to get this at -7 as well just so I don’t lose by ½ point again. Let’s try this again: Roll. Tide. Roll.

Confidence meter: 5.01 / 10

Like Lloyd Christmas, I hate goodbyes. So, until next time ✌🏼

SEASON TOTALS (W – L – PUSH)

LAST WEEK: 2-4-0

ALL WEEKS: 48-51-3

GUEST PICKS: 3-12-1 (L3)

ME: 45-39-2

LONG SHOT MONEYLINES: 1-14

1:1’s: 2-6

CHAMPIONSHIP PARLAYS: 0-1

HOLIDAY PARLAYS: 1-1

HEISMAN TROPHY: 1-0

This Post Has One Comment

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